What's Happening in Space in 2025?
- 26th Dec 2024
- Author: Alex Thompson
It’s time once again to look ahead to some of the missions, probes and spaceflights set to take flight over the next twelve months!
Mission(s) Moon
Whilst the long-awaited Artemis II has been delayed until 2026, there is still plenty to get excited about when it comes to the Moon this year.
The first of NASA’s new line of lunar landers, Blue Ghost, is set to launch on a Falcon 9 rocket this January. Made by Firefly Aerospace, these landers are part of the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) initiative that will scout the Moon’s resources and assist the scientific goals of the Artemis program. This first mission will see the lander carry just under 100kg of payload to the surface, including instruments used to study lunar regolith and measure the Moon’s distance from Earth.
Blue Ghost will be joined on the Moon by IM-2, set to launch in February and is also part of the CLPS program. After the success of IM-1 last year, Intuitive Machines will deliver their Athena lander near the lunar south pole, where they will drill to uncover water ice using NASA’s PRIME-1 robot. A drone will also look to provide a measurement of hydrogen at the Marston crater, which would be the first time this indicator of water will have been discovered in a permanently shadowed region of the Moon.
A successful mission here would pave the way for IM-3 to launch this autumn, studying the unexpected magnetic field around the Reiner Gamma swirl - a lunar swirl feature on the Moon. NASA also hope that the Griffin Mission 1 will take place this year, carrying a mass simulator in place of the original payload of the VIPER rover, which was cancelled in 2024.
And it’s not just NASA looking to get to the Moon, as Japanese company ispace is set to launch its Resilience lunar lander. Amongst the payload for this Hakuto-R Mission 2 (which is primarily being used as a technological demonstration), there will be a memory disk containing 275 Earth languages as well as other cultural artefacts, in an attempt to preserve some of humankind’s existence in the event something happens to us here on Earth. Both Blue Ghost and Hakuto-R M2 are scheduled to lift off together on the same Falcon 9 rocket this January.
Blue Origin
Perhaps the most exciting Moon mission this year may well be Blue Origin’s Blue Moon Mark 1 (MK1). This pathfinder mission will demonstrate the capabilities of the MK1 as a cargo vehicle to provide “safe, reliable and affordable access to the lunar environment” for payload customers. One of these customers will be NASA, who have already snagged a ride on the pathfinder mission for its Stereo Cameras for Lunar Plume Surface Studies (SCALPSS) system. The self-explanatory system, which is also part of the CLPS program, requires a larger engine thrust than those available on the previously mentioned lunar landers and needs to be delivered to the Moon by the end of 2025, making MK1 the most viable option. A larger MK2 vehicle for human spaceflight is in the works for the future and is expected to play a big part in the Artemis program.
Of course any chance of MK1 making it to the Moon in the next 12 months hinges on its launch vehicle, New Glenn, getting off the ground itself. There is a chance the near-100m rocket will have made its maiden flight by the time you read this, but if not it is likely it will be one of the first major launches of 2025. It will carry a prototype of a spacecraft platform called Blue Ring, capable of refueling, transporting and hosting satellites. This launch will also act as National Security Space Launch (NSSL) demonstration.
Space Rider
Let’s talk about ESA for a second.
The European Space Agency plans to unveil its first reusable space transportation system this year with Space Rider. Roughly the size of two minivans, the uncrewed robotic laboratory is scheduled for launch late-Summer/early-Autumn time and will allow experiments in its cargo bay to benefit research in pharmaceutics, biomedicine, biology and physical science. This first launch will stay in low-orbit for two months before returning to Earth with its payloads, landing on a runway to be unloaded and refurbished for another flight.
Tianwen 2
The China National Space Administration (CNSA) are scheduled to launch Tianwen 2 in May, a comet exploration and asteroid sample return mission.
The spacecraft will take off on a March 3B rocket and rendezvous with near-Earth asteroid 469219 Kamo’oalewa. It will conduct remote sensing observations before landing to collect a 100g sample of regolith. Explosives will also be used to expose potential subsurface volatiles to be detected.
After dropping off this sample, Tianwen 2 will head off to observe comet 311P/PANSTARRS, with potentially a flyby of an asteroid on the way. The spacecraft will get to Kamo’oalewa in 2026 before arriving at PANSTARRS in 2034.
Commercial Space Station
Potentially joining CNSA’s Tiangong and the multinational ISS this year is a new space station…. and this one could see tourists visit it in the future.
Aerospace company Vast (or Vast Space if you enjoy a pun) are set to launch Haven-1, the first ever commercial space station, in the second half of 2025. As well as having areas for scientific research, the station will also include a dome for viewing and photography plus permanent Wi-Fi. Crews will also be able to use artificial gravity to conduct experiments in a lunar environment (you may notice a general Moon theme in a lot of missions planned this year.) This would be only the second time artificial gravity has been purposely produced in a crewed spacecraft, after Gemini 11 in 1966. Unable to support life independently, Haven-1 will use the life support systems of the SpaceX Crew Dragon spacecraft that the astronauts travel in to help accommodate missions of up to thirty days.
Speaking of SpaceX, Elon Musk’s company will look to perform a propellant transfer in space using two docked Starship spacecrafts. If successful, this will allow SpaceX to refuel their Starship HLS vehicle, ready for a 2026 uncrewed demonstration of a lunar landing (yep, Moon again.)
UK Launches
Finally, we could be about to see successful rocket launches from the UK this year!
Orbex is putting the finishing touches on its light launch vehicle - Prime (not to be confused with the thing drilling lunar ice water). This small rocket will be able to send payloads of up to 150kg into a Sun-synchronous orbit, mostly collections of nanosatellites and CubeSats. A vertical launch is set to take place from SaxaVord Spaceport in the Shetland Islands.
Hopefully also launching from SaxaVord will be a larger Skyrora rocket, the appropriately named Skyrora XL. This three-stage launch vehicle will use nine hydrogen peroxide-kerosene engines to send up to 315kg of payload into space. As well as SaxaVord, Skyrora have also agreed to launches at Spaceport Nova Scotia in Canada.
Current (and one soon to be former) Missions
Everything I’ve spoken about so far has been based on what’s currently scheduled for 2025. But things often change in space, and it’s highly unlikely that everything written about here will actually happen. In fact, only half the missions I mentioned in last year’s blog ended up happening (some of which I’ve predicted again for this year!) But to finish off, barring something going drastically wrong with a spacecraft or a basic scientific principle, here are some things that are practically certain to happen this year.
Several current missions will use gravity assists from planet’s orbits to give them the energy needed to reach their destinations. The first to do this will be BepiColombo on 9 January, as for the sixth time it will use Mercury's gravity to slow itself down ahead its entry into the planet’s orbit next year. Europa Clipper and JUICE will use Mars and Venus respectively to help propel them forward to study some of Jupiter’s moons early next decade. Also using the Martian orbit for a gravity assist will be the Hera mission, which at the same time will also conduct observations of one of Mars’ two moons, Deimos. And the Lucy mission will conduct a flyby of main belt asteroid 52246 Donaldjohanson on 20 April on its quest to visit several different asteroids over the next decade.
And finally it’s a sad goodbye to NASA’s Juno mission. Having launched in 2011 and orbited Jupiter for the previous nine years, Juno has become one of the most iconic space missions of the twenty-first century. Assuming Juno has no damage that would cause an earlier retirement date, the mission will end on 17 September after its 76th perijove (the point in a spacecrafts orbit where it is closest to Jupiter’s centre.)
And if none of that stuff happens I’ll eat my hat. Join me in twelve months to see if I require a new fedora!
Full Credits / References
(Banner image) Skyrora XL. Credit: Skyrora
(1a) Blue Ghost. Credit: Firefly Aerospace
(1b) Resilience. Credit: ispace
(2) New Glenn. Credit: Blue Origin
(3) Space Rider. Credit: ESA
(4) 469219 Kamo'oalewa. Credit: Addy Graham/University of Arizona
(5) Haven-1. Credit: Vast
(6) Prime. Credit: Orvex
(7a) BepiColombo. Credit: ESA
(7b) Juno. Credit: NASA